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Beyond Static Process Descriptions

Mark Duerkop

design of experiments (DoE) tools to describe your upstream bioprocess

Updated: Apr 10, 2020

Have you ever used design of experiments (DoE) tools to describe your upstream bioprocess? If so you most definitely have missed the essentials of the process: the dynamics!

Here is why:

When using classic DoE tools you investigate the impact of changes in your critical process parameters (CPPs) on the critical quality attributes (CQAs). However, classic DoE tools take assumptions which are not ideal for the understanding of a process.

First, your CPPs are considered to be constant and only varied between the desired set point. Addressing, for example, the cultivation temperature inside the bioreactor, one might vary the temperature set point in a DoE between 30 and 37 degrees. However, when looking at the true process data, one can see that those temperatures are fluctuating and sometimes are out of the desired range (Figure 1). A similar situation might apply if a feeding pump of nutrients or base might, due to whatever reason, temporarily stops. While using static DoE tools, these cultivations with process variations either have to be repeated or the impact of those variations is not correctly described by the model.

Two process-data charts against feed time. On the left, temperature traces for around forty batches hold at three setpoint bands, with red circles marking deviations. On the right, cumulative base addition curves fan out across the same batches, with red circles marking outlying trajectories.

Figure 1: Temperature (left) and base feeding profile (right) of a full factorial DoE. Process variation which were included in the hybrid model but cannot be modelled using classic DoE are highlighted using red circles

Second, and more severe is the evaluation of the model with respect to the CQA. Classically, the process response is evaluated only at the endpoint (Figure 2). Hence, we assume that the input parameters remain constant throughout the process and only the process endpoint response is described by the model. Is this a clever approach? Certainly not. That’s why we are describing the process with a full process model. Instead of assuming constant input parameters and single endpoint responses, we describe the whole process using a hybrid model approach. Here, all process variations are incorporated and the whole process model is evaluated over time.

Schematic of a response variable such as titre plotted against time. A green curve rises to a peak and then falls away, with blue crosses marking the sparse response measurements. A label notes that a hybrid model can describe the whole curve, while classic DoE tools describe only the single circled end point, leaving the span between measurements marked as the DoE knowledge gap.

Figure 2: Possibility to only describe one response variable (endpoint) using classic DoE tools (red) or dynamic process description using process models (e.g. hybrid models) (green). The region which cannot be described using DoE tools is refereed as the DoE knowledge gap.

With this, it is also possible to find ideal process conditions before reaching the end of the process. Further, this hybrid modeling approach enables a faster design space description using intensified DoE (iDoE). By actively changing process parameters over time, the number of required experiments can drastically be reduced by up to 60%. As an example, we demonstrate that instead of performing seven experiments to evaluate the impact of the CPPs on CQAs (design space), four experiments can be sufficient (Figure 3).

Eight modelling result panels arranged in two rows, biomass on top and product below. For each, a predicted-versus-target scatter sits beside a time-course plot, with training/validation panels on the left and test panels on the right. Coloured per-batch error percentages run along the bottom of each panel.

Figure 3: Three iDoE cultivations for training and a static cultivation for model validation (left side) were used to build a model that can predict the behavior of 7 static DoE runs (right side). Here one hybrid model was generated for both the biomass concentration and the product activity (bottom).

However, the endpoint of such an iDoE cannot be interpreted in a classical way. Most of the valuable information is hidden in the response data along the process. A digital twin (i.e., an interactive model interrogation platform) can be used to simulate static process conditions and to assess the performance under static conditions. Therefore, the combination of iDoE with a hybrid modeling approach saves time and resources. The graphs displayed within this article were all generated using the pre-release version of the Novasign hybrid modeling toolbox.

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